Glaxo Smithkline Pharma

-
Morgan Stanley is bullish on the prospects of Glaxo Smithkline Pharma after the meeting with the management. GSK management team guided to early-single-digit sales growth in 2008 and 2009 (Morgan expcts 14-15% EPS growth) and re-iterated its business plan to launch new "exclusive" drugs in 2008. These launches have multi-year visibility, with Cervarix, in-licensed critical-care drug, allermist and Infanrix Hexa planned for 2009, and eltrombopag and synflorix planned for 2010.

Simultaneously, the company has planned new initiatives to grow its matured portfolio - focus on hospitals and rural penetration, re-organization of field force and contract field force for non-promoted drugs.

In addition, the company is planning to launch other "non-exclusive" products (such as Welbutrin XR, Seretide) from parent’s portfolio. It has Rs14.7 billion in cash (Dec '07, 16% of market cap), which gives it significant leeway to fortify portfolio by brand acquisition.

Stock is trading at 18.5x C08 and 16x C09 EPSe. GSK's current valuations are at the lower end of its last 2-3 years’ trading history (see inside) in terms of forward P/E multiple (22-33x), PEG (1.5-3), and sector premium (at par with 40% premium). Morgan has set a price target of Rs 1,280.

If you are holding to the stock, you can continue to HOLD and one can accumulate at lower levels only.

Popular posts from this blog

IOB capitalises on hike in stake by LIC

-
Indian Overseas Bank rose 1.53% to Rs 46.45 at 10:31 IST on BSE, after the biggest domestic instutional investors Life Insurance Corporation of India hiked its stake in the state-run bank. The bank made this announcement after trading hours on Wednesday, 25 March 2009. Meanwhile, the BSE Sensex was up 126.19 points, or 1.31%, to 9,794.09. On BSE, 31,003 shares were traded in the counter. The stock had an average daily volume of 1.93 lakh shares in the past one quarter. The stock hit a high of Rs 47 and a low of Rs 45.95 so far during the day. The stock hit a 52-week high of Rs 156.80 on 2 May 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 37.55 on 9 March 2009. The mid-cap bank stock had underperformed the market over the past one month till 25 March 2009, falling 3.17% as compared to the Sensex's 8.60% rise. It had also underperformed the market in the past one quarter, declining 33.94% as compared to the Sensex's 1.04% rise. The bank's current equ The current price of ...
Read more

Lok Housing & Constructions builds on fund raising plans

-
Lok Housing & Constructions jumped 6.99% to Rs 107.90 at 11:20 IST on BSE ahead of a board meeting to consider fund raising options from both foreign and local market, including an institutional placement. Meanwhile, the BSE Sensex was down 50.50 points, or 0.30%, at 15203.73. On BSE, 1.86 lakh shares were traded in the counter. The scrip had an average daily volume of 4.74 lakh shares in the past one quarter. The stock hit a high of Rs 115 and a low of Rs 102 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 390.50 on 1 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 96.25 on 12 June 2008. The scrip had underperformed the market over the past one month till 12 June 2008, falling 26.55% compared to the Sensex's 10.18% decline. It had also underperformed the market in the past one quarter, falling 31.39% compared to Sensex's 3.24% fall. The small-cap housing projects developer has an equity capital of Rs 42.88 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10. The current...
Read more

economic times picks

-
CMP: Rs 70.50 Target Price: Rs 90 CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets maintains an 'outperform' on Jagran Prakashan, with a 12-month price target of Rs 90. "An economic slowdown notwithstanding, improving literacy and income levels in Hindi heartland imply that drivers for Jagran's growth are still in place. With a 35% ad rate hike in 2008, Jagran continues to narrow the gap with its more expensive English rivals," the foreign brokerage said in a client note, after a Q&A reply from the management. "Rising newsprint prices have made Jagran cautious on launching new editions in FY09 and its focus this year will be profitability. While management has budgeted for a minor increase in FY10 newsprint prices, it believes that prices are likely to peak in Q2FY08 and decline thereon," it added. Neyveli Lignite CMP: Rs 117.15 Target Price: Rs 160 MERRILL Lynch has maintained its 'neutral' rating on Neyveli Lignite, with a price target of Rs 160 ...
Read more